治理研究 ›› 2022, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (3): 13-23.

• 碳达峰碳中和研究专题 • 上一篇    下一篇

高质量发展背景下实现“双碳”目标的风险挑战与路径选择

朱信凯, 龚斌磊   

  • 收稿日期:2021-11-26 出版日期:2022-05-15 发布日期:2022-05-25
  • 作者简介:朱信凯,中国人民大学副校长,教育部“长江学者”特聘教授,国务院学位委员会农经学科评议组召集人。
  • 基金资助:
    浙江省哲学社会科学领军人才培育专项课题(浙江省哲学社会科学规划重大课题)“长三角地区农业高质量一体化发展的核心动能、传导机制与路径选择”(21QNYC05ZD)

Risks, Challenges and Pathways towards Carbon Peaking and Climate Neutrality in the Context of High-quality Development

Zhu Xinkai, Gong Binlei   

  • Received:2021-11-26 Published:2022-05-15 Online:2022-05-25

摘要:

实现碳达峰、碳中和的目标,是党中央统筹国内国际两个大局作出的重大战略决策。当前,我国人口结构、投资效率以及能源供需等方面的结构性矛盾是实现“双碳”目标的主要挑战。中国需要用相比于西方更短的时间实现“双碳”目标,因而面临着技术、经济、社会等层面的更大挑战。在实现“双碳”过程中,需要面对经济、金融、社会等一系列风险,处理好“经济增长和节能降碳”这对关系,防止过度反应,确保安全降碳,通过构建“1+N”政策体系、发展“双碳”产业、建立健全“双碳”投资市场、加大“双碳”技术研发、协同推进大气污染治理和“双碳”治理等多重渠道确保我国顺利实现碳达峰、碳中和的目标。

关键词: 碳达峰, 碳中和, 高质量发展, 转型风险

Abstract:

Achieving carbon peaking and climate neutrality goals is a major strategic decision of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China. At present, structural contradictions in China's population structure, investment efficiency, and energy supply and demand are the three main obstacles. China plans to move from “carbon peaking” to “climate neutrality” within three decades from 2030 to 2060, which is shorter than most developed countries. Therefore, China is facing greater challenges in the technical, economic, and social. It must balance the relationship between economic growth and carbon reduction. Success relies upon building a “1+N” policy system, promoting low-carbon industries, establishing a low-carbon investment market, increasing R&D investment in low-carbon technologies, and jointly promoting air pollution control with low-carbon control.

Key words: carbon peaking and climate neutrality, high-quality development, transformation risk

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